A Semi-Analytical Inference Framework for Structural Causal Models

arXiv:2610.28103v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Structural Causal Models (SCMs) provide a principled framework for observational, interventional, and counterfactual reasoning, all of which rely on probabilistic inference. Existing frameworks either transform SCMs into alternative tractable representations or rely on approximate inference with expressive generative models. We instead perform inference using a message passing scheme directly on the SCM by representing structural mechanisms and probability densities in a common finite-dimensional function space. Forward propagation combines a num

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