arXiv — cs.AI preprintsInternational19 October 2026
AI-exposed jobs deteriorated before ChatGPT
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arXiv:2601.02554v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Public debate links worsening job prospects for AI-exposed occupations to the release of ChatGPT in late 2022. Using monthly U.S. unemployment insurance records, we measure occupation- and location-specific unemployment risk and find that risk rose in AI-exposed occupations beginning in early 2022, months before ChatGPT was released. Analyzing millions of LinkedIn profiles, we show that graduate cohorts from 2021 onward entered AI-exposed jobs at lower rates than earlier cohorts, with gaps opening before late 2022. Finally, from million
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