Coherence-Driven Belief Formation and Population Dynamics of Contagion in LLM Agents

arXiv:2610.02654v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Models of social contagion usually assume how individuals adopt beliefs and derive population behavior from it. We instead empirically measure belief adoption in language model agents, quantifying the probability an agent adopts a claim given how many peers endorse it. We find this adoption kernel to be sigmoid, a characteristic of complex contagion, with a threshold that is sensitive to three sources: the claim's plausibility, the source's reliability, and the agent's disposition. These three dimensions are well approximated by a single effectiv

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