Constructed regional photovoltaic generation fields improve ultra-short-term distributed solar forecasting

arXiv:2610.16110v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Ultra-short-term forecasting of densely distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems remains challenging because external meteorological and satellite products may not adequately resolve rapid local variations, while heterogeneous PV systems exhibit different generation responses under similar atmospheric conditions. Meanwhile, dense PV fleets provide spatially distributed measurements that reveal regional generation dynamics. Here, we reformulate fleet-level PV forecasting from modeling discrete station time series to predicting explicit, spatially str

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