Estimating great expectations under autoregressive language models with potentials

arXiv:2610.11399v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many applications of language models hinge not on individual samples but on the expectation of a test functional under the model. Estimating such expectations reliably can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we show how to make estimation more efficient by exploiting the next-token conditional probabilities which are available as a by-product of sampling. We do so through potentials: real-valued functions on prefixes that decompose the test functional additively. We construct an estimator whose variance depends on the chosen potential, a

This content is for informational purposes only and is not professional advice. Specifications, prices, plan tiers, and features change frequently and may differ from what is shown here; verify current details on the manufacturer's or company's official page before purchasing. Ratings are based on analysis of published documentation, not independent lab testing.