Learned Control Variates for Rare Grid-Outage Estimation at Electric Vehicle Charging Stations

arXiv:2610.27159v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Public charging of electric vehicles (EVs) adds a large and synchronized load to the distribution feeders. In most networks, it is rare to overload a feeder at the same time. When it does happen, the consequences can be severe: an overloaded feeder stresses its transformers and can trigger cascading outages across a city. Planners who design for high reliability therefore need to estimate very small outage probabilities. To that end, plain Monte Carlo estimation with an expensive grid simulator can require a prohibitively large number of runs for

This content is for informational purposes only and is not professional advice. Specifications, prices, plan tiers, and features change frequently and may differ from what is shown here; verify current details on the manufacturer's or company's official page before purchasing. Ratings are based on analysis of published documentation, not independent lab testing.