Multi-Party Backchannel Prediction: a Diagnosis, a Benchmark, and a Ceiling

arXiv:2610.01488v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Backchannel prediction has been studied almost entirely in dyadic conversation. We introduce a multi-party benchmark based on the AMI corpus, comprising 682 masked-listener views from 171 meetings, 190 speakers, and 18,697 backchannel events, with a person-disjoint held-out split. A state-of-the-art dyadic model applied zero-shot to meeting audio performs at chance (AUROC 0.499); nevertheless, its frozen acoustic features remain informative: a linear probe reaches 0.704, and retraining the predictor raises performance to 0.751. Retraining revea

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