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arXiv — cs.AI preprintsInternational9 October 2026

Stochastic Grouping Conformal Prediction for Effective Subgroup Reliability

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arXiv:2610.11957v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction offers a distribution-free coverage guarantee, making it especially attractive for clinical applications. Standard conformal prediction, however, provides such guarantees only at the population level, and its prediction sets can exhibit coverage disparities across clinically important subgroups. A natural remedy is to calibrate within predefined groups. However, this can require access to sensitive subgroup attributes and is prone to a worst-group bottleneck: protecting the most difficult subgroup can inflate prediction set
— arXiv — cs.AI preprints

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