A Jury, Not an Electorate: Label-Free Reliability Estimation for Ensembles of Language Models

arXiv:2610.21085v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: An ensemble of language models is a jury, not an electorate. The answers are testimony from witnesses of unknown reliability, and the question is not what the majority said but who is credible. Most ensemble methods assign each expert a fixed reputation, often learned from labels. We ask whether it can instead be inferred from the pattern of agreement and disagreement among the experts. We model the experts as a jury: each question has a latent true answer, each expert reports it with unknown reliability, and those reliabilities are estimated b

This content is for informational purposes only and is not professional advice. Specifications, prices, plan tiers, and features change frequently and may differ from what is shown here; verify current details on the manufacturer's or company's official page before purchasing. Ratings are based on analysis of published documentation, not independent lab testing.