arXiv — cs.AI preprintsInternational7 October 2026
Confidence-Ordering Reversal under Contextual Priors in Neural Decoding
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arXiv:2610.08229v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Contextual priors improve neural-to-language decoding by reshaping candidate scores. However, confidence is read from the same reshaped scores, so the errors a prior leaves behind can become more confident with no change in accuracy to reveal it. We study how a prior shapes confidence in speech retrieval on MEG-MASC and MOUS using local decoding scores, a contextual prior combined by additive shallow fusion, and the fused top-two margin as confidence. Among initially incorrect predictions, we find a confidence-ordering reversal: a larger margin m
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