Predict Before You Modify: Learning Improvement Dynamics for Self-Evolving Agents

arXiv:2610.13991v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Self-evolving agents improve through repeated cycles of modification and evaluation. However, existing methods receive feedback on modifications only after costly evaluations, and aggregate scores may obscure distinctions between failures that require different repairs. We introduce predictive self-evolution through an editable Improvement Dynamics Model (IDM). Before evaluation, the IDM predicts task-level outcomes of a proposed modification and guides an optional revision. After evaluation, past modifications and their observed outcom

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